African stock market | On Thursday (December 12th), the FTSE /JSE Africa Top 40 tradable index closed down 0.18% to 78,341.48 points. The South African rand is currently down 0.58% against the US dollar, reaching a fresh low of 17.8027 rand.The U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill to expand the judiciary.Italian 10-year bond yields rose 16 basis points to 3.35%, the biggest increase since April.
CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.American family wealth climbed to a record high thanks to the rise of the stock market. Driven by the rise of the stock market before the US presidential election, American family wealth reached a record high in the third quarter. According to a report released by the Federal Reserve on Thursday, household net assets increased by nearly 4.8 trillion US dollars, up 2.9% from the previous quarter, reaching 168.8 trillion US dollars. The value of American stock holdings increased by 3.8 trillion US dollars, while the value of real estate decreased by nearly 200 billion US dollars. In the third quarter, investors benefited from the stock market rally, as the market expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and Donald Trump to return to the White House next year. Since Trump won the election on November 5, the S&P 500 index has climbed to a new high due to the market expectation that the president-elect will promulgate a pro-business policy.The African Center for Disease Control and Prevention said that Congo will vaccinate children against Japanese monkeypox from next week.
The Danish central bank lowered its benchmark interest rate from 2.85% to 2.6%.Italian 10-year bond yields rose 16 basis points to 3.35%, the biggest increase since April.There is great potential for financing support and resource guidance to jointly drive the capital market to help green transformation. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 pointed out that it is necessary to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. In fact, whether it is technological innovation or industrial linkage, it is a process of multi-factor synergy, in which capital plays a particularly key role. In recent years, the capital market has continuously improved its "green content", helping the green transformation of the real economy to run out of "acceleration". On the one hand, it strongly supports the financing and refinancing of green enterprises with the help of multi-level capital market system and diversified product system, and promotes the vigorous development and transformation of the whole green industry field with the development and growth of individual enterprises; On the other hand, it actively guides the rational allocation of funds to green enterprises and promotes the large-scale development of green industries by improving the compilation and release of green indexes and formulating the evaluation standards and index framework of green investment. Song Xiangqing, vice president of China Business Economics Association, said that in the future, with the deepening of green transformation, the capital market will show the development trends of product diversification, service specialization, standardization of standards and further deepening of international cooperation in the development of green industries. (Securities Daily)
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14